Most Impacted By an Obamacare SCOTUS Ruling Live in GOP Districts

Jonathan Cohn: “A new report suggests the impact [of the Supreme Court Obamacare subsidies case] would fall disproportionately on their own constituents, rather than those in Democratic districts — by a margin of 2-to-1.”

“The research comes from FamiliesUSA … The report’s subject is the potential geographic impact of King v. Burwell, the lawsuit that the court heard in March and on which it is likely to rule by the end of the month.”

“Using Affordable Care Act enrollment data from the Department of Health and Human Services, the organization has estimated the number of people in each congressional district who would lose their tax credits from a court decision against the law.”

“The results? Some 4.2 million of those who would lose tax credits live in congressional districts with Republican representatives, the FamiliesUSA researchers said. Just 2.1 million live in Democratic districts.”

“It’s not at all surprising that Republican districts would have more affected people, since the states where officials wanted nothing to do with Obamacare tend to have more conservative voters. Those are also the states where Republican lawmakers have been able to draw district lines in ways that boost their numbers in Congress. But the ratio of Republican to Democratic voters in these states isn’t anywhere near 2-to-1.”

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