Context is Important When Considering Polling Numbers

Philip Bump cautions that “individual poll numbers are best considered in light of longer term trends.”

For example, the new NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that came out on Sunday “found that the number of people who thought Hillary Clinton was hurting her party was exceeded only by the number who thought Donald Trump was hurting his. That’s pretty remarkable; Trump’s campaign has reportedly worried Republican leaders who think that he’s damaging their public perception.  Democrats, largely, believe Clinton as their nominee would be a very good thing for downballot candidates.”

“We reached out to NBC for a breakdown of this data by party. As you might expect, that makes a big difference: We see that nearly half of Republicans think Trump is hurting the party’s image, while only 19 percent of Democrats think Hillary Clinton is harming hers.”

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