Will 2016 Surpass 2015 as the Hottest Year on Record?

Ecowatch: There is unlikely to be any respite from the increase in global temperatures—”scientists expect 2016 to be even warmer than 2015.”

“In a joint summary with former head of NASA GISS, Dr. James Hansen, Schmidt says 2015 global temperature ‘smashed the prior record’ and ‘should practically terminate’ discussion of any slowdown in the pace of global warming.”

“Yesterday’s news that 2015 was the hottest year on record comes as no great surprise. Perhaps what’s most remarkable is how much hotter it has been.”

How the Met Office’s annual forecasts (grey shading) compare to actual observed temperatures (red) since 2000. The prediction for 2016 is another year of record-breaking warmth, with global temperature expected to fall within 0.72-0.96C above the 1961-1990 average. Photo credit: Met Office

“Given the strength of the current El Niño, we expect 2016 to be even warmer globally than 2015. The lagged effects of El Niño are already starting to appear in the monthly temperature observations which are registering more than 0.8 degrees above norm in recent months. This is consistent with our forecast for unprecedented warmth in the coming year. Overall, we expect El Niño to contribute around 25 percent to what will most likely be a new record global temperature in 2016. Much of the rest is down to climate change.”

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