The GOP is the Party of the Past

Ronald Brownstein in The Atlantic: “The cul­tur­al and demo­graph­ic gulf between the Re­pub­lic­an and Demo­crat­ic elect­or­al co­ali­tions can now be meas­ured not just in space, but in time.”

“Today, the two parties rep­res­ent not only dif­fer­ent sec­tions of the coun­try, but also, in ef­fect, dif­fer­ent edi­tions of the coun­try. Along many key meas­ures, the Re­pub­lic­an co­ali­tion mir­rors what all of Amer­ic­an so­ci­ety looked like dec­ades ago. Across those same meas­ures, the Demo­crat­ic co­ali­tion rep­res­ents what Amer­ica might be­come in dec­ades ahead. The parties’ ever-es­cal­at­ing con­flict rep­res­ents not only an ideo­lo­gic­al and par­tis­an stale­mate. It also en­cap­su­lates our col­lect­ive fail­ure to find com­mon cause between what Amer­ica has been, and what it is be­com­ing.”

Re­pub­lic­ans rep­res­ent a co­ali­tion of res­tor­a­tion centered on the groups most un­settled by the changes (primar­ily older, non­col­lege, rur­al, and reli­giously de­vout whites). Demo­crats mo­bil­ize a co­ali­tion of trans­form­a­tion that re­volves around the heav­ily urb­an­ized groups (mil­len­ni­als, people of col­or, and col­lege-edu­cated, single, and sec­u­lar whites, es­pe­cially wo­men) most comfortable with these trends.”

“The lar­ger truth is that this cul­tur­al par­ti­tion has frus­trated both parties, by denying either a broad enough reach to es­tab­lish a dom­in­ant, much less dur­able, polit­ic­al ad­vant­age.”

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  • pisher

    While that may sound encouraging, best remember what Faulkner wrote–“The past is never dead. It’s not even past.”

    For us to be the party of the future, there has to BE a future.

  • S1AMER

    Demographically speaking, Brownstein’s right. Of course.

    But the GOP is very much the party of the present if you look around you, at who controls both houses of Congress, at who may be in the White House a year from now, at who controls most state legislatures, and at whose supporters have by far the highest voting record.

    Young people, poorer people, higher-educated people, less-rigidly-religious people, non-white people, non-heterosexual people — all these fit comfortably into the Democratic Party. But they sure as hell don’t vote at the levels the GOP’s base votes. Until the Democratic Party can figure out how to get them to the polls, the GOP will continue to control much of what happens in America.

    • pisher

      You know what keeps the GOP voters trooping to the polls–fear and hate. Motivated by their growing comprehension that they are fading into the past, and no electoral victory can change that. It can just screw things up for the rest of us for generations to come.

      • MISS SUN

        The current Republican party is made up of the middle to older age children of the Jim Crow,
        Mayberry” era…..where their parents had control to segregate, dehumanize any persons of
        color or ethnicity and dared” any of those affected people to utter a response back”….as they had designated themselves with special power and authority as long as they were white, to
        lower the status and humanity against people who do not look like, pray like..them and with the “blessings from the U.S. government in many cases and especially In state and local govenments, law enforcement. Donald Trump is masquerading as a second generation of
        someone who promises to return America to the Good Ol’ Days of that era”….and regardless of his lack of experience, or anything else that would resemble what is his bread and butter”
        policy to all things that don’t include banning, deporting, name calling certain looking people…” he only appeals to that generation of their parents wanting to see re-inforcement
        of that era in 2016″…….and that’s all they need”……..from any candidate..”

  • DemocracyInaction

    When you gerrymander the hell out of everything and work tirelessly to keep people from voting, you don’t need a vision, plan or ideas. It makes no difference how many try to come out to vote.

    • Bruce Whistler

      They may not get their agenda, but they can stop your agenda for years!

  • Calbengoshi

    The statistics cited by Brownstein show that those registered as
    Democrats resemble the nation’s likely future demographic composition,
    while those registered as Republicans resemble the nation’s past
    demographic composition.

    However, we are neither in the past nor
    in the future but instead are in the present. Thus, if the statistics cited by Brownstein are accurate, it appears that the demographic composition of registered voters not affiliated with either major
    party must be somewhat in the middle between past and future
    demographics, with fewer whites and Christians than the GOP and fewer minorities and non-Christians than the Dems.

    If that is the case, then it implies that for the present each party has to try in some way to appeal to some voters who don’t share that party’s demographic composition.

    • pisher

      But in both cases (and particularly in the case of the Republicans), trying to appeal to other demographics risks alienating the base. This is much more true now than it was in the past, which is why there are basically no liberal Republicans left, and increasingly few conservative Democrats.

      • MISS SUN

        In other words whether we are talking 2016, or 2020″……the bottom line remains the same”
        at the front door of the republican party……no coloreds wanted……this is a white people’s party created to preserve and keep the relevance of segregation today…”segregation tomorrow”….and forever, so long as one colored looking person remains in our taken from
        the native americans…….country”.

        • pisher

          That’s not all there is to this. It’s not only about color. It’s more important than we wanted to believe, but it’s not everything. They do, in fact, want blacks and latinos to vote for their candidates. They just can’t do what’s necessary to reach the many blacks and latinos who have conservative views without driving away their increasingly angry radical reactionary white base, which is angry at–well really, everything.

          They used fear of blacks and browns to win over lower-income whites, and now it’s backfired. Badly.

          • MISS SUN

            If a united states candidate is willing to trade-in his soul, moral human decency, and character pride just for the the purpose of not offending voters who think the southern 1950’s, was the best era second to “Gone
            with Wind”………that candidate is willing to show his alliance more so to
            Satan, the devil over the betterment of the United States and It’s people.

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