What is the Outlook for Obamacare Enrollment?

The latest Kaiser Family Foundation report finds that “sign-ups in Affordable Care Act marketplace plans could continue to grow modestly over the next few years to 16.3 million (up 28%), based on the experience of the top-performing states.”

“The analysis estimates that if all states performed at least as well as the top 10 states, the number of people signing up during annual open enrollment periods could reach 16.3 million (14.7 million after attrition when some enrollees fail to pay premiums, called effectuated enrollment), up from 12.7 million this year. This would still be less than enrollment of over 20 million projected by the Congressional Budget Office.”
Figure 2: Marketplace Plan Selections (Millions)
“The analysis also charts coverage gains from 2013 to 2014 for uninsured people eligible for ACA marketplace plans. It shows that the biggest coverage gain came for people with incomes between 150 and 200 percent of the federal poverty level, who qualify for substantial premium subsidies under the health law. The number of marketplace-eligible people without insurance in that group declined by 33 percent during that period. The two groups experiencing the smallest gains in coverage were those with incomes below 150 percent of the federal poverty level (18% reduction in marketplace-eligible uninsured) and those with incomes between three and four times the poverty level (14% reduction).”

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  • Lorehead

    One piece of good news in that report is that a reason for the lower-than-projected individual enrollment is that the CBO projected that millions of people would lose their employer-sponsored plans, and that did not happen.

    However, I’d like to know more about the percentage of young people enrolled.

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